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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida4.17+6.56vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.99+6.23vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.62+6.60vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.89+1.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.19+2.32vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.78-0.65vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-1.80vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College4.15-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon2.51+4.20vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07+1.56vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.70-1.78vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.57+1.24vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-2.45vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-7.76vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin4.10-7.42vs Predicted
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16University of Texas2.50-2.67vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University2.37-3.35vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.69-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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5.01Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.35Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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5.2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.33SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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13.2University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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11.56Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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9.22Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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13.24University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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6.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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13.33University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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13.65Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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16.84Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Marks | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Sinks | 14.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 5.8% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| David Thompson | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 7.3% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 7.4% |
| Patrick Farrell | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 11.2% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.