Race 1A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

8.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brian Zagalsky 4.9% 7.4% 9.9% 11.5% 11.1% 15.5% 11.8% 13.4% 7.1% 5.3% 2.1% 0.0%
Ryan Curtis 4.7% 6.3% 9.3% 8.9% 11.3% 12.5% 11.7% 11.2% 11.7% 7.7% 4.7% 0.0%
Marlon Wool 3.5% 3.7% 3.6% 5.9% 7.5% 7.7% 9.5% 12.7% 14.1% 16.7% 15.1% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 4.9% 6.6% 8.7% 7.4% 12.6% 13.4% 12.9% 10.7% 11.5% 7.6% 3.7% 0.0%
Iain Shand 35.0% 23.9% 18.2% 10.0% 7.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Macaulay 2.7% 3.7% 4.8% 7.4% 7.6% 8.3% 10.5% 12.9% 13.8% 14.6% 13.7% 0.0%
Bracklinn Williams 11.6% 14.7% 14.6% 14.6% 13.8% 10.4% 9.1% 5.0% 3.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Carly Mraz 24.1% 22.3% 18.6% 12.5% 10.8% 6.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 4.9% 6.6% 8.7% 7.4% 12.6% 13.4% 12.9% 10.7% 11.5% 7.6% 3.7% 0.0%
Alyssa Lee 1.7% 1.3% 2.7% 4.2% 2.7% 5.6% 6.4% 7.3% 10.8% 15.7% 41.6% 0.0%
Addie Perez 3.1% 5.3% 4.7% 9.2% 7.8% 8.0% 11.4% 12.7% 12.5% 15.7% 9.6% 0.0%
Faith Otoole 3.8% 4.8% 4.9% 8.4% 7.8% 9.2% 11.5% 12.2% 14.0% 14.3% 9.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.