Race 2A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matt Averyt 4.7% 5.2% 8.9% 9.8% 11.5% 13.9% 12.3% 12.3% 10.7% 7.3% 3.4% 0.0%
Iain Shand 35.0% 25.0% 17.3% 10.6% 6.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bracklinn Williams 9.3% 12.6% 14.1% 15.2% 13.2% 11.1% 10.6% 7.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Curtis 5.0% 5.8% 8.1% 8.8% 8.8% 13.4% 12.8% 12.1% 11.0% 8.2% 6.0% 0.0%
Carly Mraz 22.7% 23.8% 18.2% 13.0% 9.2% 6.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Macaulay 2.9% 4.5% 4.7% 7.0% 7.1% 9.0% 9.3% 13.9% 13.4% 14.8% 13.4% 0.0%
Marlon Wool 4.5% 3.6% 4.5% 7.0% 8.0% 9.3% 9.1% 12.7% 12.5% 15.8% 13.0% 0.0%
Brian Zagalsky 7.2% 8.3% 11.2% 11.5% 13.8% 10.4% 11.6% 8.3% 9.3% 6.0% 2.4% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 4.7% 5.2% 8.9% 9.8% 11.5% 13.9% 12.3% 12.3% 10.7% 7.3% 3.4% 0.0%
Faith Otoole 4.1% 4.0% 4.7% 7.5% 7.0% 7.9% 11.5% 12.9% 13.6% 15.2% 11.6% 0.0%
Alyssa Lee 1.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.3% 4.3% 5.8% 7.3% 7.2% 8.9% 17.4% 39.2% 0.0%
Addie Perez 3.5% 4.6% 5.4% 6.3% 10.4% 9.0% 11.3% 10.7% 15.1% 13.2% 10.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.