Race 3A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Iain Shand 33.9% 25.3% 16.0% 13.3% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bracklinn Williams 11.9% 11.6% 15.6% 14.1% 13.6% 11.1% 9.2% 6.8% 4.9% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Carly Mraz 20.2% 21.9% 18.7% 13.0% 10.9% 8.3% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 4.9% 7.3% 6.9% 7.2% 10.8% 13.8% 12.7% 12.8% 10.8% 8.8% 4.0% 0.0%
Brian Zagalsky 7.3% 7.6% 10.1% 11.8% 10.4% 11.6% 11.0% 12.3% 9.1% 6.8% 2.0% 0.0%
Ryan Curtis 4.8% 6.6% 8.8% 9.1% 10.3% 11.0% 14.1% 11.9% 10.7% 8.5% 4.2% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 4.9% 7.3% 6.9% 7.2% 10.8% 13.8% 12.7% 12.8% 10.8% 8.8% 4.0% 0.0%
Marlon Wool 4.2% 3.9% 4.2% 5.9% 7.7% 9.2% 11.6% 12.3% 16.0% 13.7% 11.3% 0.0%
Faith Otoole 4.3% 3.2% 5.6% 7.4% 9.7% 9.2% 11.3% 12.0% 13.3% 14.3% 9.7% 0.0%
Silas Hodges 5.9% 8.4% 9.2% 10.0% 12.8% 11.6% 11.2% 11.9% 9.7% 6.1% 3.2% 0.0%
Myles Wommack 1.3% 1.9% 2.9% 4.4% 3.0% 5.0% 6.6% 9.0% 12.3% 19.5% 34.1% 0.0%
Alyssa Lee 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 6.4% 7.2% 8.7% 12.2% 21.6% 30.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.