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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.78+3.62vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.09+1.13vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.32-0.41vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.43+2.22vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-2.05+2.45vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.94+1.19vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.31-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-1.29-2.48vs Predicted
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9American University-1.50-2.75vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-1.43-3.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.74-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.76-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Princeton University-0.780.1%1st Place
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3.13Princeton University-0.090.2%1st Place
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2.59Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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6.22Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.45Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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7.19Syracuse University-1.940.0%1st Place
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5.56St. John's College-1.310.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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6.25American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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6.22Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Military Academy-2.740.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Delaware-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bracklinn Williams | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 24.2% | 22.1% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 31.4% | 26.1% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Faith Otoole | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Myles Wommack | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 21.8% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.