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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.32+1.49vs Predicted
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2American University-1.50+3.91vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.43+2.97vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-2.05+3.40vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.29+0.45vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.09-2.93vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.78-2.79vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-2.01-2.00vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-1.94-3.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.74-2.43vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.96-3.06vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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5.91American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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5.97Virginia Tech-1.430.1%1st Place
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7.4Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.07Princeton University-0.090.2%1st Place
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4.21Princeton University-0.780.1%1st Place
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7.0St. John's College-2.010.0%1st Place
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6.98Syracuse University-1.940.0%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Military Academy-2.740.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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5.97Virginia Tech-1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 33.0% | 25.3% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 23.6% | 21.7% | 21.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Macaulay | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Faith Otoole | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 19.9% | 36.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.