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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.32+1.44vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.78+2.34vs Predicted
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3American University-1.50+3.13vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.09-0.85vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.43+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.29-0.45vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-2.01-1.03vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.94-2.13vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-2.05-2.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.74-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.96-3.08vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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4.34Princeton University-0.780.1%1st Place
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6.13American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.15Princeton University-0.090.2%1st Place
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5.79Virginia Tech-1.430.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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6.97St. John's College-2.010.0%1st Place
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6.87Syracuse University-1.940.0%1st Place
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7.26Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Military Academy-2.740.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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5.79Virginia Tech-1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 34.3% | 25.6% | 18.4% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 12.1% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 21.2% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Macaulay | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Faith Otoole | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 21.0% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 37.6% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.