Race 7A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Curtis 4.4% 5.7% 8.1% 9.0% 11.2% 13.3% 12.9% 15.4% 11.6% 6.2% 2.2% 0.0%
Carly Mraz 23.0% 21.4% 19.1% 14.8% 9.8% 6.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Iain Shand 31.2% 27.2% 16.1% 12.2% 7.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Silas Hodges 6.0% 6.6% 9.1% 10.6% 11.2% 14.1% 13.5% 13.1% 8.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 6.3% 6.5% 8.0% 11.0% 11.2% 11.6% 14.4% 11.7% 10.6% 6.4% 2.3% 0.0%
Brian Zagalsky 6.8% 8.9% 8.2% 11.2% 13.2% 13.8% 11.1% 10.0% 9.9% 5.1% 1.8% 0.0%
Bracklinn Williams 12.6% 13.3% 16.4% 14.1% 13.8% 10.0% 9.2% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 6.3% 6.5% 8.0% 11.0% 11.2% 11.6% 14.4% 11.7% 10.6% 6.4% 2.3% 0.0%
Elise Singletary 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 5.1% 9.1% 17.9% 54.9% 0.0%
Marlon Wool 3.1% 3.7% 5.4% 5.3% 6.9% 8.6% 11.4% 14.7% 17.2% 14.6% 9.1% 0.0%
Faith Otoole 4.2% 4.2% 5.7% 7.0% 8.8% 8.9% 12.1% 13.4% 15.3% 14.9% 5.5% 0.0%
Alyssa Lee 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 3.5% 4.4% 6.7% 6.7% 9.0% 14.0% 28.0% 22.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.