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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+1.95vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.25+2.62vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.97-0.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.33+0.20vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.12-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-1.23vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.37-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Salve Regina University0.4624.9%1st Place
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4.62Boston University0.257.9%1st Place
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2.77Boston University0.9727.5%1st Place
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4.2Brown University0.3310.9%1st Place
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4.26Northeastern University0.1210.8%1st Place
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4.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.027.8%1st Place
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4.44Brown University0.3710.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emil Tullberg | 24.9% | 22.2% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
Richard Kalich | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 22.2% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 27.5% | 22.9% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
Keller Morrison | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
Samuel Rooks | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 14.7% |
William Delong | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 25.8% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.