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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.43+5.05vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.78+2.48vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.09+0.24vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.32-1.43vs Predicted
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5St. John's College-1.31+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.29-0.34vs Predicted
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7American University-1.50-1.09vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.94-2.02vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-1.43-3.95vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-3.44-1.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.74-3.44vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-2.05-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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4.48Princeton University-0.780.1%1st Place
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3.24Princeton University-0.090.2%1st Place
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2.57Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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5.68St. John's College-1.310.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.91American University-1.500.1%1st Place
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6.98Syracuse University-1.940.0%1st Place
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6.05Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Delaware-3.440.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Military Academy-2.740.0%1st Place
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7.16Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Averyt | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 11.8% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 20.4% | 22.6% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 33.4% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Faith Otoole | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 58.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 28.9% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.