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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.32+1.50vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-2.05+5.53vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.09+0.30vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.78+0.63vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.43+0.99vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.94+1.23vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-2.01+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.95-0.89vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-1.43-3.01vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.29-4.22vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.74-2.21vs Predicted
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13American University-1.50-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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7.53Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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3.3Princeton University-0.090.2%1st Place
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4.63Princeton University-0.780.1%1st Place
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5.99Virginia Tech-1.430.1%1st Place
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7.23Syracuse University-1.940.0%1st Place
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7.18St. John's College-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Delaware-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.99Virginia Tech-1.430.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Military Academy-2.740.0%1st Place
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5.97American University-1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 34.7% | 24.6% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 19.6% | 22.6% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Faith Otoole | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Macaulay | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Addie Perez | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Lee | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.