Race 10A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Iain Shand 32.8% 25.1% 16.6% 14.7% 5.5% 3.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carly Mraz 23.5% 22.3% 18.0% 13.8% 9.4% 6.2% 4.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 5.4% 5.9% 8.2% 9.0% 11.7% 12.2% 12.6% 13.0% 9.0% 9.6% 3.4% 0.0%
Marlon Wool 2.8% 3.8% 3.9% 4.9% 6.8% 9.6% 9.1% 13.6% 14.3% 16.4% 14.8% 0.0%
Bracklinn Williams 11.2% 13.7% 13.9% 13.7% 12.4% 11.7% 9.7% 6.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Ryan Curtis 4.8% 6.9% 7.2% 9.7% 11.5% 12.0% 12.6% 11.2% 10.6% 8.0% 5.5% 0.0%
Brian Zagalsky 6.9% 9.0% 10.2% 12.6% 12.6% 11.8% 11.9% 9.3% 7.5% 5.3% 2.9% 0.0%
Addie Perez 4.2% 3.2% 6.5% 6.1% 9.0% 9.9% 11.2% 11.4% 13.9% 14.2% 10.4% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 5.4% 5.9% 8.2% 9.0% 11.7% 12.2% 12.6% 13.0% 9.0% 9.6% 3.4% 0.0%
Alyssa Lee 1.5% 2.1% 3.1% 2.4% 3.8% 5.4% 5.5% 8.9% 9.2% 16.8% 41.3% 0.0%
Faith Otoole 3.7% 3.9% 6.2% 6.5% 8.9% 8.3% 11.6% 11.5% 16.5% 13.2% 9.7% 0.0%
Alexander Macaulay 3.2% 4.1% 6.2% 6.6% 8.4% 9.3% 10.3% 12.7% 13.8% 14.1% 11.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.