Race 11A

mccurdy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Matt Averyt 6.3% 6.3% 9.3% 13.5% 11.1% 15.7% 17.1% 15.0% 5.7% 0.0%
Iain Shand 32.1% 26.9% 17.3% 12.3% 6.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Bracklinn Williams 11.3% 12.9% 14.8% 15.3% 16.5% 14.5% 8.9% 4.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 6.3% 6.3% 9.3% 13.5% 11.1% 15.7% 17.1% 15.0% 5.7% 0.0%
Carly Mraz 25.3% 23.7% 18.9% 14.2% 9.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Brian Zagalsky 6.7% 10.4% 13.5% 12.4% 13.6% 13.4% 14.5% 10.6% 4.9% 0.0%
Ryan Curtis 6.3% 6.4% 7.3% 11.9% 14.0% 16.4% 16.1% 14.6% 7.0% 0.0%
Silas Hodges 7.0% 7.5% 10.7% 11.3% 17.0% 15.5% 15.6% 10.4% 5.0% 0.0%
Brendan van Riper 1.5% 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 3.6% 4.4% 7.8% 16.2% 59.4% 0.0%
Marlon Wool 3.5% 4.6% 5.4% 6.1% 8.9% 10.6% 16.6% 27.5% 16.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.