Race 12A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Carly Mraz 25.1% 20.8% 19.3% 16.8% 8.8% 5.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 4.7% 5.3% 9.1% 12.6% 13.0% 16.1% 16.6% 16.7% 5.9% 0.0%
Marlon Wool 2.6% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 9.8% 13.1% 16.1% 24.8% 18.6% 0.0%
Iain Shand 34.9% 29.3% 17.2% 10.8% 4.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Curtis 6.1% 8.3% 9.8% 12.0% 13.0% 13.4% 14.7% 14.7% 8.0% 0.0%
Brian Zagalsky 7.0% 8.6% 11.9% 10.3% 15.8% 17.7% 14.9% 10.1% 3.7% 0.0%
Bracklinn Williams 10.9% 13.4% 14.9% 16.7% 18.4% 11.3% 9.0% 4.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 4.7% 5.3% 9.1% 12.6% 13.0% 16.1% 16.6% 16.7% 5.9% 0.0%
Silas Hodges 7.2% 8.1% 10.4% 12.9% 12.8% 15.3% 15.8% 12.5% 5.0% 0.0%
Brendan van Riper 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 3.9% 5.6% 8.9% 16.1% 57.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.