Race 1B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Malik Deslauriers 9.1% 11.1% 11.2% 11.9% 13.7% 13.4% 9.2% 10.6% 6.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0%
William Roberts 20.9% 17.1% 17.1% 12.9% 9.8% 9.4% 6.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Evelyn Walsh 14.8% 14.0% 15.8% 13.9% 10.7% 10.7% 9.1% 5.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Shaw 8.8% 9.4% 7.7% 10.8% 11.9% 13.0% 11.9% 9.7% 9.6% 5.8% 1.4% 0.0%
Charlie Bullock 14.3% 14.7% 14.2% 11.8% 11.6% 9.1% 9.9% 7.2% 4.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
James Cottage 12.7% 13.3% 11.5% 12.4% 12.9% 9.7% 8.7% 8.4% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Kaleth Cushman 7.0% 7.8% 7.5% 9.2% 10.1% 10.8% 11.9% 12.4% 12.1% 8.1% 3.1% 0.0%
Ralph Molinari 3.8% 2.8% 3.4% 4.9% 5.5% 6.7% 9.4% 11.5% 15.1% 20.6% 16.3% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 9.1% 11.1% 11.2% 11.9% 13.7% 13.4% 9.2% 10.6% 6.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Seton Dill 5.3% 6.0% 6.5% 6.5% 6.9% 9.3% 13.6% 13.8% 14.9% 11.0% 6.2% 0.0%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.0% 2.2% 3.0% 3.4% 3.3% 4.7% 6.2% 9.8% 12.5% 24.1% 28.8% 0.0%
McCaslin Miles 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 3.6% 3.2% 4.0% 6.3% 11.9% 21.4% 42.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.