Race 2B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Roberts 17.9% 17.0% 17.4% 13.5% 11.8% 9.8% 6.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Evelyn Walsh 17.4% 16.3% 15.5% 10.6% 11.5% 9.8% 8.3% 6.3% 3.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 10.6% 9.9% 10.8% 11.9% 11.9% 11.8% 12.3% 10.1% 6.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.0%
James Cottage 11.1% 11.8% 11.2% 12.6% 13.0% 12.0% 10.5% 8.3% 5.9% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 10.6% 9.9% 10.8% 11.9% 11.9% 11.8% 12.3% 10.1% 6.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Kaleth Cushman 6.0% 8.1% 7.9% 9.0% 9.0% 9.3% 10.8% 13.9% 11.9% 9.8% 4.3% 0.0%
Charlie Bullock 14.7% 14.4% 11.3% 14.4% 11.1% 10.9% 8.6% 6.5% 5.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Ralph Molinari 4.0% 3.3% 4.1% 4.3% 5.8% 6.1% 9.6% 12.0% 16.3% 18.3% 16.2% 0.0%
Seton Dill 6.0% 5.1% 6.9% 8.9% 7.8% 9.7% 12.4% 12.5% 13.8% 11.9% 5.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Shaw 8.8% 10.6% 10.1% 9.6% 11.3% 11.6% 11.0% 10.5% 9.8% 4.4% 2.3% 0.0%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.2% 2.1% 2.8% 2.7% 4.0% 4.7% 6.2% 8.2% 14.9% 25.4% 26.8% 0.0%
McCaslin Miles 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.5% 2.8% 4.3% 3.8% 7.6% 10.8% 20.0% 43.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.