Race 3B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Evelyn Walsh 14.2% 16.9% 15.3% 16.3% 14.1% 11.2% 6.6% 4.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jared Cohen 24.5% 20.4% 17.2% 13.7% 11.0% 7.3% 3.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Roberts 18.1% 17.8% 17.2% 14.0% 14.6% 8.6% 6.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
James Cottage 11.1% 13.2% 12.4% 14.5% 12.7% 15.1% 11.3% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 12.0% 11.5% 14.2% 13.3% 12.4% 11.8% 13.2% 7.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Faranetta 7.8% 8.8% 9.1% 10.7% 13.7% 14.1% 14.9% 10.5% 8.0% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 12.0% 11.5% 14.2% 13.3% 12.4% 11.8% 13.2% 7.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Muchin 6.1% 5.1% 7.1% 7.4% 10.2% 13.4% 17.1% 16.0% 11.9% 5.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.4% 1.8% 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 8.3% 9.8% 19.0% 22.9% 23.5% 2.0% 0.0%
Michael Pugh 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 3.7% 3.0% 5.3% 8.4% 17.8% 25.1% 24.2% 5.0% 0.0%
McCaslin Miles 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 3.1% 3.8% 4.8% 7.5% 13.4% 21.7% 35.5% 5.4% 0.0%
Tia Peterson 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 7.0% 87.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.