Race 4B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Malik Deslauriers 9.8% 11.8% 12.9% 12.9% 15.8% 13.9% 11.7% 7.8% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
James Cottage 12.7% 13.5% 13.4% 15.3% 12.3% 13.9% 10.6% 4.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
William Roberts 17.2% 19.7% 16.8% 13.6% 14.6% 8.8% 6.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Evelyn Walsh 16.0% 14.9% 15.4% 15.0% 14.0% 11.3% 8.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jared Cohen 24.8% 19.3% 17.5% 14.6% 8.8% 8.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Faranetta 7.2% 9.6% 9.2% 10.7% 12.6% 15.1% 14.2% 10.9% 8.1% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Muchin 6.6% 4.7% 6.9% 7.7% 10.3% 10.7% 18.1% 16.5% 12.6% 5.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 9.8% 11.8% 12.9% 12.9% 15.8% 13.9% 11.7% 7.8% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Pugh 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 2.7% 4.7% 8.2% 9.4% 18.2% 22.9% 24.7% 2.2% 0.0%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.0% 2.5% 3.3% 4.0% 3.1% 4.8% 9.3% 18.1% 25.2% 23.0% 4.7% 0.0%
McCaslin Miles 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 3.3% 3.6% 4.9% 7.4% 13.3% 21.4% 36.2% 5.2% 0.0%
Tia Peterson 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 2.0% 2.4% 6.6% 87.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.