Race 5B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Roberts 16.7% 20.4% 16.0% 12.9% 13.2% 10.5% 5.7% 3.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 11.1% 11.7% 12.2% 13.1% 12.8% 11.8% 11.2% 8.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Evelyn Walsh 14.7% 14.2% 17.0% 12.7% 13.1% 10.6% 8.9% 6.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Stockman 8.7% 7.3% 8.4% 9.4% 12.3% 12.5% 14.5% 12.1% 9.3% 4.6% 0.9% 0.0%
James Cottage 13.7% 12.6% 12.1% 13.0% 10.7% 12.1% 10.6% 8.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Charlie Bullock 14.4% 15.9% 12.6% 14.3% 12.4% 10.6% 7.8% 6.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Charlotte Shaw 11.4% 10.9% 11.3% 11.1% 11.3% 11.6% 12.2% 10.7% 6.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Ralph Molinari 3.8% 2.5% 4.0% 5.8% 5.6% 8.3% 10.9% 14.1% 17.8% 17.4% 9.8% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 11.1% 11.7% 12.2% 13.1% 12.8% 11.8% 11.2% 8.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 2.5% 2.9% 4.5% 7.1% 12.6% 18.3% 22.9% 21.2% 0.0%
McCaslin Miles 1.8% 1.0% 1.6% 3.2% 2.6% 4.1% 6.0% 9.5% 15.1% 22.8% 32.3% 0.0%
Amira Kleiman 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 3.4% 5.1% 7.7% 16.5% 24.0% 34.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.