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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.92+1.81vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+3.86vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.36+4.63vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+2.10vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.69+1.50vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.48+1.26vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80-0.96vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.17vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.64+1.61vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.00-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon2.76-0.72vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.29-0.49vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.43-2.07vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.46+0.10vs Predicted
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16Marquette University1.50-0.93vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University2.38-4.51vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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3.81Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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6.86University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.26University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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7.04Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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10.17SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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12.51Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.93Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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15.1University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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15.07Marquette University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.49Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 17.0% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 19.5% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Megan Magill | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| David Hernandez | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Ted Green | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Elliot Drake | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 7.8% |
| Walker Banks | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 5.4% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 33.7% |
| David Johnston | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 33.2% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 8.4% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.