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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Malik Deslauriers 9.3% 11.0% 12.4% 12.7% 13.4% 11.9% 13.9% 9.0% 4.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Charlie Bullock 14.3% 14.9% 14.5% 11.3% 13.3% 11.8% 10.3% 6.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
William Roberts 17.3% 18.6% 15.3% 15.5% 12.3% 8.0% 7.1% 4.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Charlotte Shaw 9.1% 7.6% 11.7% 10.1% 11.4% 15.9% 12.5% 10.8% 7.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Ralph Molinari 3.0% 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.9% 6.4% 10.9% 14.7% 19.3% 16.8% 10.4% 0.0%
James Cottage 12.7% 12.6% 12.9% 13.4% 12.5% 11.9% 9.2% 6.8% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Henry Stockman 9.5% 10.5% 9.5% 10.8% 10.5% 11.9% 13.0% 11.4% 7.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 9.3% 11.0% 12.4% 12.7% 13.4% 11.9% 13.9% 9.0% 4.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
McCaslin Miles 2.1% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 2.8% 3.9% 5.8% 11.1% 15.9% 24.4% 29.5% 0.0%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.3% 2.1% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 4.7% 6.0% 12.8% 19.7% 23.4% 19.9% 0.0%
Amira Kleiman 1.4% 1.4% 1.2% 2.0% 2.8% 3.3% 4.6% 9.0% 14.1% 23.3% 36.9% 0.0%
Evelyn Walsh 19.0% 16.7% 13.8% 14.3% 12.1% 10.3% 6.7% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.