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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.29+4.36vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.29+3.36vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.73+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58-0.24vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.92-0.53vs Predicted
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7American University-1.20-1.97vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.02-0.99vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.47-3.53vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.67-3.99vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.84-4.36vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-3.00-3.10vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-3.36-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.36Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.9Princeton University-0.730.2%1st Place
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3.76University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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4.47Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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5.03American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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5.47Drexel University-1.470.1%1st Place
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6.01Rutgers University-1.670.1%1st Place
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6.64St. John's College-1.840.1%1st Place
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8.9Syracuse University-3.000.0%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 17.6% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 18.4% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 14.5% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Kaleth Cushman | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Anselm Neville-Rhody | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 26.0% | 32.2% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 20.9% | 48.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.