Race 9B

mccurdy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Malik Deslauriers 10.3% 14.2% 11.3% 13.5% 15.2% 16.0% 10.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Roberts 21.7% 18.6% 18.2% 14.8% 11.8% 9.1% 3.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ralph Molinari 3.4% 3.4% 4.8% 4.4% 7.0% 7.2% 15.3% 19.4% 19.9% 14.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Charlie Bullock 14.8% 14.0% 14.9% 15.4% 13.9% 11.5% 9.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Evelyn Walsh 18.9% 16.8% 15.8% 14.4% 11.9% 10.0% 7.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
James Cottage 13.1% 14.4% 14.9% 14.0% 13.6% 11.8% 10.6% 4.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 10.3% 14.2% 11.3% 13.5% 15.2% 16.0% 10.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Shaw 11.3% 11.6% 12.5% 12.5% 14.9% 14.4% 9.8% 8.3% 3.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
McCaslin Miles 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 3.1% 2.8% 5.4% 9.4% 15.0% 21.4% 32.7% 4.6% 0.0%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.2% 3.1% 2.3% 3.7% 3.8% 7.3% 11.0% 18.4% 23.0% 21.2% 4.0% 0.0%
Michael Pugh 2.4% 1.7% 3.1% 4.1% 4.9% 7.1% 13.0% 16.7% 20.4% 24.1% 2.5% 0.0%
Tia Peterson 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% 1.6% 3.3% 5.1% 87.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.