Race 10B

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charlie Bullock 13.6% 16.3% 14.4% 15.3% 14.9% 12.5% 7.7% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 12.0% 13.6% 12.8% 13.7% 14.7% 13.5% 9.6% 6.8% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Evelyn Walsh 16.6% 17.0% 15.5% 14.5% 13.1% 11.1% 7.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Roberts 21.1% 17.9% 16.1% 16.3% 13.2% 7.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Malik Deslauriers 12.0% 13.6% 12.8% 13.7% 14.7% 13.5% 9.6% 6.8% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Shaw 11.7% 10.0% 12.8% 11.8% 12.3% 14.0% 13.1% 8.6% 4.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ralph Molinari 2.9% 3.7% 5.4% 4.2% 5.6% 10.5% 15.7% 19.1% 18.5% 13.6% 0.8% 0.0%
James Cottage 15.2% 14.4% 15.3% 14.6% 12.6% 12.0% 7.9% 5.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Anselm Neville-Rhody 2.6% 2.2% 3.0% 3.2% 5.6% 7.8% 13.1% 18.8% 19.7% 22.0% 2.0% 0.0%
Michael Pugh 2.3% 2.9% 2.7% 3.8% 3.4% 5.1% 11.7% 16.0% 24.7% 22.5% 4.9% 0.0%
McCaslin Miles 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 4.5% 5.5% 8.4% 14.1% 21.1% 33.1% 5.5% 0.0%
Tia Peterson 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 0.3% 1.5% 3.4% 6.5% 86.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.