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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.35+1.53vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.19+1.34vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.50+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.69vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.70-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-0.91vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.74-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of New Hampshire0.350.3%1st Place
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3.34Bates College-0.190.2%1st Place
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5.39McGill University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.31University of New Hampshire-0.130.2%1st Place
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4.22McGill University-0.700.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.12Amherst College-0.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 33.8% | 23.2% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Frary | 16.2% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Alex Anderson | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 22.5% | 38.1% |
| Sean Lund | 18.3% | 18.5% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.3% |
| Pierre Offredi | 8.7% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 12.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 23.0% | 29.7% |
| James Knowlton | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 15.0% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.