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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.19+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.13+1.25vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.50+2.40vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35-1.41vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+0.15vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.70-1.82vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.74-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Bates College-0.190.2%1st Place
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3.25University of New Hampshire-0.130.2%1st Place
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5.4McGill University-1.500.1%1st Place
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2.59University of New Hampshire0.350.3%1st Place
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5.15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.18McGill University-0.700.1%1st Place
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4.16Amherst College-0.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 20.8% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
| Sean Lund | 17.2% | 20.8% | 22.4% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Alex Anderson | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 39.3% |
| Sam Harris | 30.5% | 24.0% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 23.3% | 30.7% |
| Pierre Offredi | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 10.8% |
| James Knowlton | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.