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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.19+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.35+0.52vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.28vs Predicted
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4McGill University-1.50+1.45vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.70-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-0.90vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.74-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Bates College-0.190.2%1st Place
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2.52University of New Hampshire0.350.3%1st Place
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3.28University of New Hampshire-0.130.2%1st Place
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5.45McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.22McGill University-0.700.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.12Amherst College-0.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 19.5% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Sam Harris | 30.2% | 26.9% | 20.3% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Sean Lund | 19.5% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Alex Anderson | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 21.4% | 39.4% |
| Pierre Offredi | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 11.8% |
| Andy Giaya | 6.0% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 22.3% | 29.3% |
| James Knowlton | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.