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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+6.42vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+5.04vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+0.90vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+0.29vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.24+4.31vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.00+4.32vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+0.69vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.48+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Texas1.46+6.21vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.36-0.91vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.64+0.67vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon2.76-0.49vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.07vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-3.51vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.29-2.20vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University2.38-3.46vs Predicted
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17Marquette University1.50-1.78vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-10.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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3.9Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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4.29Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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9.31Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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10.32SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.43University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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15.21University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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6.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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12.8Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.54Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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15.22Marquette University1.500.0%1st Place
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7.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 18.6% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 19.2% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ted Green | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| David Hernandez | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 33.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Elliot Drake | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 8.2% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% |
| David Johnston | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 35.6% |
| Megan Magill | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.