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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.35+1.58vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.19+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.27vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.70+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+0.13vs Predicted
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6McGill University-1.50-0.61vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.74-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of New Hampshire0.350.3%1st Place
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3.35Bates College-0.190.2%1st Place
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3.27University of New Hampshire-0.130.2%1st Place
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4.2McGill University-0.700.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.39McGill University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.08Amherst College-0.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 32.7% | 23.1% | 18.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 16.6% | 19.1% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| Sean Lund | 17.6% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Pierre Offredi | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 12.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 22.2% | 30.5% |
| Alex Anderson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 38.5% |
| James Knowlton | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.