← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire0.39+1.06vs Predicted
-
2McGill University-0.25+0.75vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.50+0.08vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire-0.82-0.50vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.97+0.07vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-2.28-0.58vs Predicted
-
7Amherst College-3.05-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.06University of New Hampshire0.390.4%1st Place
-
2.75McGill University-0.250.2%1st Place
-
3.08Bates College-0.500.2%1st Place
-
3.5University of New Hampshire-0.820.1%1st Place
-
5.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.970.0%1st Place
-
5.42McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
-
6.12Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 43.1% | 27.2% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Colston Howell | 20.8% | 25.9% | 25.8% | 15.8% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 15.6% | 22.1% | 24.5% | 20.6% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Henry Poynter | 13.2% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 24.4% | 18.3% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| Julian Bokulich | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 26.8% | 29.5% | 15.7% |
| Harry Boutemy | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 10.6% | 22.2% | 32.1% | 24.8% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 22.1% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.