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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.39+1.05vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.25+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.82+0.51vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.50-0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.97+0.07vs Predicted
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6McGill University-2.28-0.59vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-3.05-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05University of New Hampshire0.390.4%1st Place
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2.72McGill University-0.250.2%1st Place
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3.51University of New Hampshire-0.820.1%1st Place
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3.1Bates College-0.500.2%1st Place
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5.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.970.0%1st Place
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5.41McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
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6.13Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 43.0% | 27.2% | 16.4% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Colston Howell | 20.8% | 28.4% | 22.8% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Poynter | 10.8% | 16.6% | 21.2% | 25.1% | 16.8% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 18.0% | 18.5% | 23.5% | 21.5% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Julian Bokulich | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 26.7% | 30.2% | 15.5% |
| Harry Boutemy | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 22.1% | 32.3% | 24.5% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 10.0% | 22.2% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.