← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire0.39+1.08vs Predicted
-
2McGill University-0.25+0.75vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.50+0.09vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire-0.82-0.52vs Predicted
-
5Amherst College-3.05+1.25vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-2.28-0.55vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.97-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08University of New Hampshire0.390.4%1st Place
-
2.75McGill University-0.250.2%1st Place
-
3.09Bates College-0.500.2%1st Place
-
3.48University of New Hampshire-0.820.1%1st Place
-
6.25Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
-
5.45McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
-
4.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 42.7% | 26.5% | 16.6% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Colston Howell | 21.4% | 25.4% | 24.2% | 18.4% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 15.5% | 21.7% | 24.5% | 21.1% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Henry Poynter | 12.8% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 24.3% | 18.5% | 8.3% | 1.0% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 19.7% | 61.4% |
| Harry Boutemy | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 10.1% | 21.6% | 33.4% | 24.9% |
| Julian Bokulich | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 27.7% | 30.3% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.