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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.39+1.06vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.25+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.82+0.53vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.50-0.91vs Predicted
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5McGill University-2.28+0.42vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-3.05+0.24vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.97-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of New Hampshire0.390.4%1st Place
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2.74McGill University-0.250.2%1st Place
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3.53University of New Hampshire-0.820.1%1st Place
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3.09Bates College-0.500.2%1st Place
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5.42McGill University-2.280.0%1st Place
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6.24Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 43.0% | 26.4% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colston Howell | 20.8% | 28.3% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Henry Poynter | 11.3% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 24.7% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 1.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 17.6% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 21.8% | 13.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Harry Boutemy | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 21.7% | 33.1% | 24.6% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 20.7% | 60.1% |
| Julian Bokulich | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 26.7% | 29.0% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.