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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.90+7.50vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.50+4.56vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+4.29vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.96+7.77vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+2.07vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+1.05vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-2.95vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.10-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.15+2.06vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.03-4.95vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.59-1.34vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-7.64vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.76vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.62-1.47vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.90-6.28vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology0.78-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.05Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.8University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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4.36Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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12.24SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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12.53Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.72George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.31Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| James Paul | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 15.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 20.6% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Olin Guck | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 8.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 17.3% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 20.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 24.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.