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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.90+7.51vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+2.31vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+4.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+3.42vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+0.04vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43-1.97vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.50-0.29vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.90+0.57vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.13vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.62+2.69vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.59-1.38vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.29vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.40-6.12vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-6.22vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.15-3.78vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.96-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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4.31Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.42Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.04Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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4.03Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.57George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.13Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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12.69Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.62Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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12.29SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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11.8Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 18.2% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.5% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 19.2% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 19.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 24.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 22.9% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Olin Guck | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.