← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.02+7.14vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.30+1.98vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.10+7.34vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.20+4.05vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.38+2.70vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.71-0.28vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.99+2.30vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.22+4.76vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.07vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.84vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston1.81-0.91vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.97-2.61vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.09-4.88vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.10-2.90vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College1.51-3.25vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University0.54-2.51vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University0.93-3.89vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida1.60-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.14Tulane University2.025.9%1st Place
-
3.98Stanford University3.3022.1%1st Place
-
10.34Dartmouth College2.104.5%1st Place
-
8.05Georgetown University2.205.8%1st Place
-
7.7Cornell University2.386.9%1st Place
-
5.72Yale University2.7111.8%1st Place
-
9.3Brown University1.995.0%1st Place
-
12.76Northeastern University1.221.6%1st Place
-
8.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.8%1st Place
-
8.16University of Pennsylvania1.776.3%1st Place
-
10.09College of Charleston1.813.9%1st Place
-
9.39Roger Williams University1.974.1%1st Place
-
8.12Boston College2.096.0%1st Place
-
11.1Harvard University2.102.9%1st Place
-
11.75Bowdoin College1.512.6%1st Place
-
13.49Tufts University0.541.6%1st Place
-
13.11George Washington University0.931.6%1st Place
-
10.87University of South Florida1.602.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 22.1% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Green | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 17.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 23.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 18.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.