Race 4A

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Quentin Chafee 14.8% 15.4% 12.9% 14.5% 12.4% 11.1% 9.4% 6.8% 2.7%
Eric Decesar 11.6% 14.6% 13.4% 14.3% 13.9% 10.4% 9.5% 8.9% 3.4%
Nikolas Osvalds 19.9% 18.6% 16.0% 12.6% 11.8% 9.6% 6.2% 4.0% 1.3%
Michael Reney 5.8% 5.1% 9.4% 8.5% 8.8% 11.1% 13.7% 17.4% 20.2%
Michael Hession 14.9% 16.3% 13.6% 11.1% 11.1% 10.9% 9.9% 8.0% 4.2%
Peter Hughes 10.5% 9.4% 12.1% 11.6% 12.7% 13.0% 12.8% 10.5% 7.4%
William Cotta 8.4% 9.2% 9.3% 11.4% 12.8% 12.8% 13.6% 13.6% 8.9%
Dylan Griffin 4.8% 3.6% 3.3% 5.5% 7.1% 7.9% 11.3% 16.1% 40.4%
Viktor Bolmgren 9.3% 7.8% 10.0% 10.5% 9.4% 13.2% 13.6% 14.7% 11.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.