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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.65vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+7.24vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.48+5.78vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.00+6.29vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.24+4.39vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-0.05vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.92-4.12vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80-1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.69-1.95vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+0.04vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-6.63vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon2.76-1.88vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29-1.39vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.46+0.32vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California2.64-4.22vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University2.38-4.26vs Predicted
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18Marquette University1.50-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.78University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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10.29SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.39Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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3.88Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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5.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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12.61Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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15.32University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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12.74Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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15.07Marquette University1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 14.3% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Ted Green | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Megan Magill | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 19.5% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| David Hernandez | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Blouin | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 8.8% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 21.9% | 35.1% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% |
| David Johnston | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 20.7% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.