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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+5.92vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+4.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+1.00vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+4.80vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+2.03vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29-2.60vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-0.78vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.76+3.15vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.50-3.33vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.90-2.41vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.96-0.36vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62-0.39vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.59-4.44vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.15-3.81vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology0.78-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.0Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.8George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.03Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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4.4Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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7.22Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.15SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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11.64Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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12.61Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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12.35Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 19.1% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 18.2% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
| James Paul | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 16.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 24.7% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Olin Guck | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 9.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.