Race 7A

moody

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Teddy Nicolosi 19.9% 17.6% 15.1% 13.4% 9.0% 8.3% 5.3% 5.7% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Leyton Borcherding 6.0% 6.9% 8.0% 7.7% 6.8% 8.2% 8.1% 8.5% 8.2% 8.0% 7.0% 6.1% 4.8% 3.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Oliver Stokke 7.5% 5.5% 7.3% 7.7% 8.7% 8.8% 7.8% 8.1% 10.7% 8.2% 6.4% 5.7% 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Stephan Baker 15.6% 15.7% 13.7% 12.4% 10.3% 7.6% 8.5% 6.3% 4.3% 2.4% 2.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Wood 3.5% 4.2% 5.6% 5.4% 5.0% 6.9% 7.0% 8.1% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.8% 7.8% 6.4% 4.3% 1.5%
Tyler Nash 4.8% 4.3% 5.4% 7.1% 9.2% 7.4% 7.4% 6.2% 6.9% 9.2% 9.7% 6.7% 6.6% 5.6% 2.2% 1.3%
James Paul 7.9% 8.2% 7.1% 8.1% 7.9% 8.7% 9.5% 8.9% 8.0% 6.5% 6.8% 6.3% 3.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Patrick Dolan 4.1% 5.8% 4.7% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 6.7% 7.5% 7.9% 7.6% 11.0% 8.9% 7.1% 5.3% 3.4% 2.0%
Mitchell Callahan 13.9% 12.8% 11.3% 11.1% 10.9% 8.7% 8.9% 6.5% 5.0% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2%
Emil Tullberg 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 3.5% 2.8% 5.1% 6.7% 9.0% 13.3% 17.5% 27.7%
Ben Hosford 1.8% 1.8% 1.5% 2.2% 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 3.7% 4.1% 4.2% 5.2% 6.4% 10.9% 10.9% 18.3% 21.7%
William Hurd 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 2.8% 3.3% 3.0% 4.8% 6.3% 4.9% 7.6% 6.2% 9.8% 10.6% 11.8% 12.1% 9.8%
Drew Mastovsky 6.4% 7.0% 8.7% 7.4% 9.6% 8.2% 9.1% 9.2% 7.4% 7.6% 6.2% 5.9% 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Brendan Smucker 1.0% 2.1% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 2.0% 3.8% 5.3% 6.3% 5.6% 8.1% 9.4% 12.2% 16.3% 20.4%
Skylor Sweet 3.3% 2.6% 3.6% 3.3% 4.1% 5.8% 6.2% 5.6% 6.9% 8.5% 8.9% 8.7% 11.3% 10.3% 8.0% 2.9%
Olin Guck 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 3.5% 4.8% 3.7% 3.3% 6.2% 6.5% 7.1% 9.7% 10.6% 12.7% 13.1% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.