← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.40+5.85vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.43+1.96vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.90+5.69vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.29+3.50vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.38+2.05vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.03-0.90vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.29-2.58vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.10-0.15vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.62+3.63vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.90-1.25vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.50-4.39vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College1.59-2.30vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.15-1.82vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.72vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College1.23-3.97vs Predicted
-
16Florida Institute of Technology0.78-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.85Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
-
3.96Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
-
8.69George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
7.5Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
-
7.05Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.1Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
4.42Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
-
7.85University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
12.63Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
8.75Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
-
6.61Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.7Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
-
11.18University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
-
12.28SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
-
11.03Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
-
12.39Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 20.4% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 17.5% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 26.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| James Paul | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% |
| Olin Guck | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 11.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 20.7% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 8.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.