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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+3.14vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.90+6.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+3.88vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+2.99vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+0.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62+6.50vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+0.89vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.43-4.20vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-1.86vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.50-3.45vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.76+1.07vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.15-1.09vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.90-4.55vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.96-2.54vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.88vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.92-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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8.39Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.01Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.5Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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3.8Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.14Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.07SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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8.45George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.46Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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12.12Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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11.69Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 17.5% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 24.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 21.5% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| James Paul | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 17.4% |
| Olin Guck | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 17.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.