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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+3.19vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+2.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+4.24vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43-0.03vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40+1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.15+3.95vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38-1.22vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.50-2.52vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.62+2.53vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.96+0.42vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.90-3.53vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.91vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.90-5.68vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.86vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.92-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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4.92Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.24Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.97Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.83Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.53Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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8.47George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.09SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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8.32Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.14Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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11.74Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 17.6% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 18.4% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Olin Guck | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| James Paul | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 22.5% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 18.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.