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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+5.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+5.18vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.10+4.81vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.15+7.12vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29-0.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.03-0.97vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-3.00vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.90+0.44vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62+3.48vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.90-1.39vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.50-4.47vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.15vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.40-6.19vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.23-3.34vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-3.16vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology0.78-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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4.27Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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5.03Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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4.0Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.44Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.48Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.61George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.15SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.66Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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11.84Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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12.25Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Olin Guck | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 16.4% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 20.4% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 22.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| James Paul | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 21.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 14.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.