← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.29+3.18vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.38+4.87vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.43+0.87vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.10+4.05vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.40+1.91vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.90+2.61vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.03-1.95vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.15+2.90vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.50-2.43vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.29-2.73vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University0.62+1.46vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.15vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.23-2.29vs Predicted
-
14Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.00vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.92-3.20vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University1.90-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.18Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
-
6.87Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
3.87Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
-
8.05University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
6.91Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
-
8.61George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
5.05Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
10.9University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
-
6.57Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.27Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
12.46Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
12.15SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
-
10.71Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
-
12.0Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
-
11.8Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.59Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 17.1% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 20.5% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.1% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% |
| James Paul | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 23.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 20.8% |
| William Hurd | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 18.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 15.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.