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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+6.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.57vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.50+6.66vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.78+4.81vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.87-0.06vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.91+1.28vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.83+0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.24-2.12vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45-3.76vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.79-2.44vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.10-1.03vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.45-3.24vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-4.89vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.74vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.57Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.81Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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4.94Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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8.34Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.56Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.97SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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9.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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14.26Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.39Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Mason Stang | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Robby Meek | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Alex Adams | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 10.5% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 59.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.