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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+6.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+5.43vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+2.39vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.91+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.24+0.06vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.87-3.27vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+0.15vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.50-0.24vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-0.78vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.79-3.39vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.78-4.45vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.45-4.31vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.85vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.59Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.43Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.48Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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4.73Harvard University2.870.2%1st Place
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.22Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.61Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.55Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.69Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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11.15SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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14.29Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Mason Stang | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.0% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Henry Lee | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Robby Meek | 16.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 5.7% |
| Alex Adams | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Duncan Craine | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 10.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.