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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+6.64vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+4.44vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+6.19vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+1.72vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.45+4.86vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.78+2.70vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.24+0.06vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.83+0.31vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31+1.24vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.50-0.27vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-4.76vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.79-3.38vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.87-8.20vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.05vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.74vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.91-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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5.72Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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8.7Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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8.31Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.24Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.62Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.8Harvard University2.870.2%1st Place
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10.95SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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14.26Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Mason Stang | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alex Adams | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Robby Meek | 15.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 10.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 14.1% | 59.1% |
| Henry Lee | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.