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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.00+9.57vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+7.30vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.24+6.70vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92-0.13vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+2.29vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon2.76+5.27vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+0.78vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.29+4.75vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.48-0.43vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-4.70vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-3.95vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-4.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-2.26vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University2.38-1.65vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.46+0.29vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California2.64-4.21vs Predicted
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17Marquette University1.50-1.75vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University4.71-13.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.57SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.7Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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3.87Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.29Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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12.75Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.57University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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5.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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12.35Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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15.25Marquette University1.500.0%1st Place
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4.38Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Green | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 20.3% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| David Hernandez | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 8.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Blouin | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Megan Magill | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 6.8% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 19.9% | 34.8% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| David Johnston | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 35.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.