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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+5.99vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+4.58vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+2.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.79+4.90vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+1.47vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.50+3.86vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.83+1.69vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.87-3.09vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.01-1.10vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31+0.57vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-1.71vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.51-5.73vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.91-4.70vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.45-4.12vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.73vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.77Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.9Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.69Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.91Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.57Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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6.27Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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9.88Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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11.27SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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14.34Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Mason Stang | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Robby Meek | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 2.6% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Henry Lee | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 4.8% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 9.6% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.