← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.87+3.82vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.01+5.63vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.63+2.69vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.38+2.63vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.24+1.96vs Predicted
-
6Yale University1.83+2.49vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.45-0.68vs Predicted
-
8Yale University1.79+0.42vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.50+0.51vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.91-1.83vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College1.10-0.18vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.51-5.88vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-3.88vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.31-3.87vs Predicted
-
15Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.90vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.36-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.82Harvard University2.870.2%1st Place
-
7.63Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
-
5.69Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.63Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.96University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
-
8.49Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
-
6.32Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
8.42Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
-
9.51Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
-
8.17University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
-
10.82SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
-
6.12Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
-
9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
-
10.13Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
14.1Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
-
13.07Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Mason Stang | 12.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Henry Lee | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 7.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 4.6% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 51.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 24.1% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.